In an era defined by rapid geopolitical shifts and emerging global threats, Britain stands at a critical juncture. The need for an outward-facing foreign policy has never been more pressing. By committing to 3% of GDP on both defense and foreign aid spending, Britain can ensure its ability to influence global stability, support allies, and uphold international norms. The prospect of American isolationism under Donald Trump during a potential second term further amplifies the necessity for Britain to assume a more proactive role, particularly in countering threats from Russia and China.
Defence spending is a cornerstone of national security and international influence. A commitment to 3% of GDP on defense is essential for Britain to maintain and enhance its military capabilities. During the Cold War, Britain’s defence spending peaked at around 5-6% of GDP, which was instrumental in deterring Soviet expansionism. This level of commitment was vital in maintaining a balance of power in Europe and ensuring the security of Western allies. For example, during the Berlin Crisis of 1961, Britain’s substantial military presence and its commitment to NATO helped prevent further Soviet advances in Europe. Today, a similar, if not greater, commitment is necessary to address contemporary threats, particularly from Russia and China.
The Russian invasion of Ukraine is a sobering reminder of the threats posed by aggressive authoritarian powers. Britain’s strategic position within NATO, coupled with its advanced military capabilities, positions it uniquely to lead the European response. By increasing defense spending, Britain can ensure it has the resources to provide substantial support to Ukraine, including advanced weaponry, intelligence, and training for Ukrainian forces. This commitment not only aids Ukraine but also reinforces the security architecture of Europe and the broader international community. For instance, the UK’s provision of anti-tank missiles and other military aid to Ukraine has been crucial in helping Ukrainian forces resist Russian advances, demonstrating the tangible benefits of robust defense spending.
Foreign aid is also an indispensable tool of soft power, fostering global stability and development. Allocating 0.9% of GDP to foreign aid would significantly enhance Britain’s influence and moral standing on the world stage. Historical examples such as the Marshall Plan illustrate the profound impact of foreign aid in promoting peace and prosperity. The Marshall Plan, which facilitated Europe’s recovery post-World War II, not only helped rebuild economies but also established lasting political and economic alliances. Similarly, Britain’s recent contributions to global health initiatives, such as its substantial funding for GAVI, the Vaccine Alliance, have saved millions of lives and enhanced its reputation as a global leader in health.
Today, British foreign aid can play a pivotal role in addressing global challenges such as poverty, health crises, and climate change. By supporting development in fragile states, Britain can help mitigate the conditions that lead to conflict and extremism. Furthermore, foreign aid bolsters Britain’s global influence, fostering goodwill and partnerships crucial for addressing future global challenges. In an increasingly interconnected world, stability in one region can significantly impact global security and prosperity.Britain’s aid to Syrian refugees has not only provided humanitarian relief but also helped stabilize neighboring countries, reducing the risk of regional conflict spilling over.
Under Donald Trump’s leadership, the United States exhibited tendencies towards isolationism, raising questions about its long-standing alliances and commitments. Should this trend continue, Britain must be prepared to fill the leadership vacuum in international affairs. The post-World War II order, largely maintained by U.S. leadership, requires steadfast guardianship to uphold the principles of democracy, free trade, and international cooperation. Britain’s historical role in shaping global affairs, from the British Empire to its pivotal role in founding the United Nations and ECHR positions it well to assume greater responsibility.
By increasing defence and foreign aid spending, Britain can project power and influence, ensuring that the values of democracy and international cooperation are upheld, even in the absence of American leadership. This proactive stance is essential for maintaining the balance of power and preventing the rise of authoritarian regimes. For instance, Britain’s leadership in the imposition of sanctions on Iran over its nuclear program has demonstrated its ability to influence international policy and uphold global norms independently of the U.S.
Russia’s aggressive actions in Ukraine pose a direct challenge to the international order and the security of not just the west, but man-kind as nuclear war poses an ever greater threat. The successful containment of the Soviet Union during the Cold War was due in large part to the solidarity and strength of the Western alliance, with Britain playing a key role. The Berlin Airlift of 1948-49, is a prime example of how decisive action can uphold democratic values and deter aggression. Today, a similar approach is required.
Britain’s leadership in imposing sanctions on Russia can help cripple the Russian economy, limiting its ability to wage war within Europe. A firm stance against Russia not only supports Ukraine’s sovereignty but also reinforces international norms against aggression and territorial expansion. The UK’s role in the Joint Expeditionary Force, a coalition of northern European countries formed to respond to security threats, further exemplifies its capability to lead collective defence efforts.
China’s rise as a global superpower presents another significant challenge. Its aggressive policies in the South China Sea, human rights abuses in Xinjiang, and economic coercion require a firm response. Britain must take a leading role in forming a coalition of democratic nations to counter Chinese aggression and uphold international law. The AUKUS pact, a security alliance between Australia, the UK, and the US, represents a strategic effort to balance China’s influence in the Indo-Pacific region and must be expanded and nurtured if we are to defend against the threat of Chinese aggression.
Increasing Britain’s role in foreign policy involves not only strengthening military alliances in the Indo-Pacific region but also enhancing economic ties and supporting human rights initiatives.Britain’s role in ending the slave trade and promoting decolonization, demonstrate its ability to lead on moral issues. By standing up to China, Britain can uphold the principles of sovereignty and human rights that are fundamental to the international order.Our stance on Hong Kong’s autonomy and its offer of residency to Hong Kong citizens underscores our commitment to democratic values and human rights.
Britain’s history offers valuable lessons on the importance of maintaining a strong and outward-facing foreign policy. The failure to confront aggressive powers in the 1930s led to the devastation of World War II. Conversely, the proactive approach taken during the Cold War ensured decades of relative peace and stability.
Today, Britain faces a monumental crossroads. The threats from Russia and China, coupled with the potential for American isolationism, necessitate a robust and proactive foreign policy. By committing to 2.5% of GDP on defense and 0.9% on foreign aid, Britain can ensure it has the hard and soft power needed to lead on the global stage and return us from the brink of another global conflict.
Britain’s future security and prosperity depend on its ability to adapt to changing global dynamics. A more outward-facing foreign policy, backed by increased defense and foreign aid spending, is essential. This approach addresses immediate threats while building a foundation for long-term global stability. As history has shown, the price of inaction is far greater than the cost of leadership. Britain must rise to the occasion, embracing its role as a global leader committed to peace, security, and prosperity for all.
Devin Hindry
The Centrist 